Category: COP28

Toothless

              COP28 by USAID via Flickr CC

So they decided it’s time to “transition away” from fossil fuels? It took 28 meetings for this realization?

At the end of the 28th UN Climate Change Conference (COP28), European Union and world leaders “recommitted” to delivering the Paris Agreement goals and limiting the global average temperature increase to 1.5 Celsius. They agreed to “accelerate” emission reductions towards net zero by 2050, with urgent action in this critical decade. This includes transitioning away from fossil fuels and reducing global emissions by 43% by 2030.

Some commitments and actions announced by the EU at COP28:

  • A Global Pledge on Renewables and Energy Efficiency to triple renewable energy capacity and double the rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030. €2.3 billion from the EU budget will support the energy transition in the European neighborhood and around the globe
  • €175 million of financial support from the EU and its Member States to reduce methane emissions
  • More than €400 million in funding from the EU and its Member States to activate a new loss and damage fund for climate emergencies
  • The first two European clean tech projects to be supported by the EU-Catalyst partnership to help the EU reach its 2030 climate targets
  • A €20 billion Team Europe contribution to the Africa-EU Green Energy Initiative
  • a new Team Europe initiative focused on deforestation-free value chains

It sounds good, but…

Critics, notably activist Greta Thunberg say the deal will not prevent global temperatures from rising more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average, which scientists say will trigger catastrophic and irreversible impacts, from melting ice sheets to the collapse of ocean currents.

“This text is toothless and it is nowhere even close to being sufficient to keep us within the 1.5-degree limit,” Thunberg, 20, told Reuters outside Sweden’s parliament, where she and a handful of other protesters were calling for climate justice.

“It is a stab in the back for those most vulnerable. As long as we don’t treat the climate crisis as a crisis and as long as we keep lobby interests influencing these texts and these processes, we are not going to get anywhere,” she said.

The Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change is a yearly international summit where world leaders, environmental experts, activists, and stakeholders gather to discuss and negotiate actions to combat climate change.

For more information

EU at COP28 Climate Change Conference

Climate action and the Green Deal

Press release: Global Pledge on Renewables and Energy Efficiency

Press release: EU negotiators secure agreement at COP28 to accelerate the global transition away from fossil fuels and triple renewables and double energy efficiency this decadeStatement of President von der Leyen on the outcome of COP28

Copping out

Will the COP 28 meeting make much of a difference in the climate crisis discussion and action?

https://www.flickr.com/photos/porelclima/53364111419/sizes/o/
 Some rights reserved by equipo.comunicacion via Flickr CC

Probably not, but it is all we’ve got right now.

The 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference or Conference of the Parties of the UNFCCC, more commonly referred to as COP28, is the 28th United Nations Climate Change conference, held from 30 November until 12 December 2023 at Expo City, Dubai. 

Here’s a round-robin of takes from various publications and organizations on the status of, and chances for success, of COP 28:

  • Climate Home News: “Annual emissions may have just peaked but the world’s temperature will keep rising until we reach net zero. Ahead of every COP climate talks, think tanks, campaign groups and United Nations agencies get their number-crunchers to produce a load of reports summarising where the fight against climate change is at. These reports can start to induce deja vu. We’re doing some stuff to tackle climate change, usually more than the year before. But not fast enough to avoid some pretty terrifying destruction.”
  • “Broken record,” is the title of the UN’s latest emissions gap report. “Temperatures hit new highs yet world fails to cut emissions (again),” the subtitle.
  • Nature: “Is it too late to keep global warming below 1.5 °C? Chances are rapidly disappearing to limit Earth’s temperature rise to the globally agreed mark, but researchers say there are some positive signs of progress.”

Editors always told me to try to find some positives in any story. That search is getting more difficult.

  • The Indian Express: “Ahead of the COP 28 summit, have we lost the fight against climate change? Emissions are rising, there’s not enough money to deal with a worsening climate, and its harmful effects become more apparent every day. What’s the way ahead? Just like every previous year, the situation appears more grim, and the progress more marginal, than earlier.”
  • A report by Climate Analytics finds a 70% chance that emissions will peak in 2023 and start falling in 2024, mainly thanks to electric vehicles, solar and wind power.
  • Triple Pundit: “All in all, a multitude of complex and interconnected challenges need to be addressed at COP28 for the world to get back on track. Summit President Sultan Al Jaber emphasized in his letters to parties that ‘it is not too late to correct course’ and ‘we’re playing catch-up to keep 1.5°C alive.’ He calls for ‘optimism and unwavering resolve’ at the talks this year, though the outcome remains to be seen.”
  • Greenfin Weekly: “The feasibility of “keeping 1.5 alive” appears increasingly tenuous. 2023 saw the hottest month on record since 1880, and the global average temperature briefly passed 2 degrees Celsius of warming from the pre-industrial era for the first time ever in mid-November. “It will require an estimated $4 trillion annually by 2030 to transition to a clean economy that reverses those trends, and Al Jaber has noted that the money isn’t flowing fast enough.
  • It will take a real step change at COP28 to rewrite that equation, said Elise Larkin, director of global economic recovery at The Rockefeller Foundation.”

The way ahead is not very promising. If the private sector, especially the companies that have benefited the most from causing the climate crisis, can somehow step up and weigh-in, maybe progress will occur.

Is that a positive or a dream?